Valspar Championship 2026 Betting Preview, Odds And Picks: Betting On Brooks

The PGA Tour covers up the Florida swing this week with the Valspar Championship, as players make one last stop before moving focus towards Texas and, eventually, the Masters.


At Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, the field will face among the tougher and more distinct tests on the schedule.


Let's break down the odds, course setup and best bets for today's Valspar Championship.


Valspar Championship 2026 Odds


Xander Schauffele (+1100 )
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400 )
Viktor Hovland (+1800 )
Akshay Bhatia (+2200 )
Jacob Bridgeman (+2200 )
Justin Thomas (+2200 )
Brooks Koepka (+2500 )
Jordan Spieth (+2500 )
Patrick Cantlay (+2500 )
Corey Conners (+3000 )
Ryo Hisatsune (+3000 )
J.J. Spaun (+3500 )
Sahith Theegala (+3500 )
Austin Smotherman (+4000 )
Ben Griffin (+4000 )
Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000 )
Nick Taylor (+5500 )
Aaron Rai (+6000 )


Copperhead Course: What to Know


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course|Palm, Harbor, Florida
Par: 71
Yardage: 7,352
Greens: Poa Trivialis (16th tiniest on Tour).
Fairways: Overseeded Ryegrass (fourth narrowest).
Rough: Overseeded Ryegrass (4 inches).
Bunkers: 74.
Water in Play: 6


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club has 4 courses on residential or commercial property, but Copperhead is the one that's hosted this event since it debuted on Tour back in 2000.


It's one of the more underrated stops on the schedule and a layout players tend to enjoy using. You're not getting your normal Florida setup here either. Instead of wide fairways and flat terrain, Copperhead features narrow, pine tree-lined corridors, lots of tight doglegs and some obvious elevation changes throughout. It resembles TPC Sawgrass where placing matters more than just bombing it off the tee.


Because of that, players are required to club down off the tee, which moves the benefit far from distance and towards technique play.


Copperhead isn't a conventional par 71 either. It features five par 3s, all 195 backyards or longer, and they rank as the ninth toughest set of par 3s on Tour. The 4 par 5s are far from easy too, grading out as the 4th toughest group in spite of being the finest chances for birdies.


It's likewise quite a second-shot course. Around 53% of technique shots originate from beyond 175 backyards, with players hitting into little, firm greens that are difficult to hold. That's a big factor why greens in policy sit around just 57%, among the most affordable marks on Tour.


You're going to have to be called in with your irons to create possibilities.


And with motorist used on barely half of tee shots, there isn't much separation off the tee. Strokes got off the tee hasn't been an essential sign of success here, which puts a lot more pressure on technique play and the short game.


With greens missed as often as they are, having the ability to gain strokes around the green becomes a big advantage when it pertains to saving par and avoiding mistakes.


Add in one of the most difficult closing stretches on Tour with the Snake Pit, and this ends up being more about restricting errors and playing what's thought about uninteresting golf.


Approach play is the greatest priority today, particularly at similar tough scoring courses. With so numerous shots originating from 175 yards and out into little, firm greens, I'm heavily weighting SG: APP and proximity from range.


From there, I'm concentrating on players who can handle a grind. That indicates looking at bogey avoidance, rushing and SG: ARG, in addition to excellent drive portion to remain in position. I'm likewise factoring in par 3 and par 5 scoring, putting splits on Poa surface areas and total efficiency in challenging scoring conditions.


Valspar Championship Picks


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 )


It was a rocky start to Brooks Koepka's return to the Tour, ending up T-56 at the Farmers Insurance Open and after that missing out on the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but it didn't take long for him to bounce back.


Koepka reacted with a T-9 at the Cognizant Classic and followed that up with a T-13 surface last week at THE PLAYERS.


This season, among this field, Koepka ranks 2nd in SG: APP. Over the previous couple of years at courses with tough scoring conditions, he's 21st because metric, and when you combine that with strong greens in policy numbers and his distance from 175+ lawns, it's exactly what you want at a course like this.


He's likewise 23rd in SG: ARG over his last 36 rounds, which shows that even if his irons aren't called, he can still make up for it around the green.


This field provides a fantastic chance for a star player to shine.


J.J. Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )


I went back and forth on whether to pull the trigger on J.J. Spaun today. It hasn't been a fantastic start to the year, with his finest finish coming last week at THE PLAYERS (T-24), but he's appearing a huge method in my design, ranking fourth overall.


He's very first in SG: TOT in similar scoring conditions, 3rd in GIR% over his last 36 rounds, 8th in SG: APP, 10th in Bogey Avoidance and 15th in Good Drive Percentage with a blended club selection off the tee.


The putter has cooled off a bit, which is actually the primary issue, however if that even comes back to average, the rest of his video game remains in a strong area for a course like Copperhead.


With the Masters around the corner, Spaun might utilize a strong proving, and this seems like one of the much better opportunities for him to put it together.


Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )


How could I not return to Corey Conners for a 3rd straight week? The Canadian cured us well at THE PLAYERS. Not only did he hold the lead for a stretch, but he ultimately cashed us a Top 20 (+168) ticket with a T-13 surface at TPC Sawgrass.


I had him appreciated in my design recently, and the exact same is occurring again for the Valspar Championship. He ended up T-8 in 2015 at this occasion and in overall has 12 rounds at Innisbrook, posting a Real SG mark of +1.63.


Conners ranks 2nd in Bogey Avoidance at hard scoring courses, 4th in SG: APP and 6th in Birdie or Better Percentage. He's been very precise off the tee with a combined club selection, he's striking greens in regulation at a high rate (second) and has done a nice job taking advantage of Par fives.


What hasn't been as strong is the putter, together with his play around the green and on more hard Par 3s. Still, he had the ability to conquer that last week. In a weaker field he might certainly do it again and in fact win this thing.


Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )


This male has been a popular betting selection this season, and for excellent reason.


The 25-year-old hasn't ended up worse than T-27, which came recently at THE PLAYERS. His best finishes consist of a T-3 at the Phoenix Open and a T-6 at the Cognizant Classic.


Hojgaard's irons have been called in, the putter has actually been solid and he ranks initially in SG: Par 3 over the past couple of seasons on average-to-difficult Par 3s.


He'll require to remain consistent off the tee and be a bit sharper around the green, but if he can do that, there's no factor he can't discover himself near the top of the leaderboard once again and perhaps even break through for his first PGA Tour win.


Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )


Ryo Hisatsune finished T-4 at this event in 2015, and the season prior he posted a T-33. In overall, he's gained +1.68 strokes per round at Innisbrook.


What's even more convincing is his current form. He's missed out on simply one cut in 8 competitions this season, and that came in his first start of the year at the Sony Open.


His finest results consist of a T-2 at the Farmers, a T-8 at Pebble Beach and a T-13 surface recently at THE PLAYERS.


He ranks sixth in SG: TOT on comparable tracks and is also 6th in GIR% over his last 36 rounds. He's also including a 12th-place mark in Scrambling, 18th in Bogey Avoidance and 32nd in SG: PUTT on Poa Trivialis.


His iron play has actually taken a step forward this season and if that continues, it might carry him even further at Innisbrook this time around


Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )


It's time for our dark-horse choice of the week, which comes from 27-year-old South Carolina native Mac Meissner.


It might be crazy to back a player coming off back-to-back missed cuts, however with him ranking 6th overall in my design today, he's tough to ignore.


Meissner ranks first in Bogey Avoidance, 2nd in Scrambling and seventh in SG: APP at difficult courses comparable to Copperhead.


He's likewise carried out well here, finishing T-26 in 2024 and T-28 in 2025, posting a True SG mark of +1.05.


I believe Meissner's got some worth this week. lay -108 for a Top 40, and hope we're likewise sweating a 90/1 straight-out ticket come Sunday.


Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 ).
Taylor Pendrith Top 30 Finish (+100 )


Something about those Canadians today, eh? My design is high on our good friends from the Great White North, and I don't want to lose out on wagering them to end up Top 30.


I don't believe they have enough to win this competition outright, but I believe they'll remain competitive for all 4 days.


Taylor hasn't missed out on a cut this season, and his play around the green can bring him through the week.


Meanwhile, Pendrith is appearing 10th in my design.


So let's add these two golf enthusiasts to the card too, but simply with their Top 30 wagers.


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 ). Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )
Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )
Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )
Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )
Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )
Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 )
Taylor Pendrith Top 3o Finish (+100 )